Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I shall deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL debate to dip our feet into uncharted waters and render our college football picks on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will most likely be the very first and only time this year we do this, as the previous week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster compared to a regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the very best clubs in the country, plus a legendary football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us start the debate after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while the Titans were backed by me. We have been swapping wins back and forth so it appears like its my turn to get the wreath, as I will accompany each of the squares laying the heavy lumber on a street favorite and heartily endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days prior to the Monday night affair, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its currently offered at a solid -20 round the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
I love the Irish but you are leaning to the Cardinals. Other than the venue do you think Louisville will hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes a win and at least IMO, it said a lot about the direction of both the Steelers and Titans. Let us move ahead to football, in which the matches rely and will our recordings with this one.
Remember Louisville utilized to perform against opponents that are big-name? They more than held their engineered and own upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were a thrilling golf club.
But for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) owner, Louisville soccer last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders in Appalachian State and will be out win matches and to alter the culture. This will not happen immediately as the talent level is down in theVille. Yet this is a moment for Louisville, a group which has the chance.
I have read where the Cards coaches have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall as the lead running back. Than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins the protection which makes me more nervous. Please do tell youve got your Irish up.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing flying into this match as the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest. Scott Satterfield is now in the big leagues and he has a team this past year, in which they went winless coming off of a dismal 2-10 record. This rebuild is akin to taking a hot air balloon and attempting to turn it.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is facing a group that made it to the CFP this past year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the regular season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they met Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense clicked on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to discharge, supposed to get some traction against a swarming shield that is Irish? Particularly when he is working with an offensive scheme that is entirely new and a new coach?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form in which Louisville is going to be able to keep pace and Im desperate for your sage wisdom and handicapping experience!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to see in your last sentence you are coming on to the sunny side of sports gambling, or youre just being the same shrewd a** you are. Ill let the SBR readers that are making this is decided on by college football selections. I am the first to realize Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 and sucked final season.
Just like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons but coach Bobby Petrino was given up on by that team COMPLETELY. A new coach brings a fresh mindset on making a statement, and with this being a match, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does need to hope they will not be taken by the Irish for granted and never have a lot of fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with all the gold and blue is ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS if dishing out more or 20 specimens. This defense you said may improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, even if you dont/can not amuse like Clemson or Bama, it is going to take some time.
I was becoming a bit facetious because though youve got an impressive handicapping resume, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville might be greater but I would submit that they are trained with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable record left by an equally inept coach like Petrino.
I understand that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the road is square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the general public is right, and in this instance they certainly are. Until next week once we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, lets see what happens on Monday when the Irish come prepared to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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